CRK's Cosmo

MIKE KOZAK, Cormark Securities Inc. (01/13/2011)
"In an attempt to finalize mining permits at the International open pit in the Pine Creek North area, Crocodile Gold continued to work with several government agencies during the quarter. At the Cosmo open pit, the company is ready to begin dewatering once final discharge permits approval is given (expected imminently). Throughout Q410, CRK completed 140m of underground development at Cosmo and focused on developing and installing the required underground infrastructure, including electrical and water reticulation. This work brought total underground development for the year to 562m. The development and production contract for the mine has been put out to tender and is expected to be awarded in Q111.

Valuation: As mentioned in previous notes, we believe that the key to Crocodile Gold is the Cosmo Deeps mine that is currently under development. . .the startup will have significant impact on the company both in annual production and lowered operating costs. We anticipate Crocodile will begin production stoping in mid-2011, with a ramp-up period lasting 6–12 months thereafter. Currently, CRK is trading substantially below its intrinsic value at 0.62x NAVPS. We expect that upon Cosmo startup, Crocodile Gold should begin to trade more in line with its gold producer peers, garner a premium to NAVPS and trend up toward our target price."

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