Credit Suisse Raises Target on FNV

ANITA SONI, Credit Suisse (01/07/2011)
"The Credit Suisse Global Metals and Mining Team has revised its base metals, precious metals and uranium price forecasts. . .[for Franco-Nevada,] we are maintaining our Neutral rating but are increasing our target price to $38/share (from $37). Our target price is based on a blended Target P/NAV multiple of 1.28 (from 1.4) applied on a weighted average to our DCF of $27.58/share with net cash of $1.73/share added at par. The decline in our FNV target multiple is due to a reduction in the multiples attributed to FNV's gold and PGM royalty streams from 1.5–1.35 based on the average of our stocks in the sector at 1.25, plus a 0.1x premium to account for the reduced operational risk. We expect gold price, exploration updates and project advancement to drive FNV. We believe that we are in a bullish gold price environment and expect that gold will remain at elevated levels in 2011, which will draw increasing interest to the sector. FNV will likely benefit as a leveraged, reduced risk alternative to the ETF."

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