CLQ Focused on Québec Lithium Project

ERIC ZAUNSCHERB, Canaccord Genuity (11/09/2009)
Event
Canada Lithium has relinquished its interest in its secondary Nevada lithium brine project and notched up the scale and confidence level of the Québec Lithium project with a target or conceptual resource of 29 million tonnes grading 1.1% Li2O.

Impact – Positive
The focus on the higher-value Québec lithium project is welcome and the resource target update increases clarity but impacts valuation only marginally to the positive.

Valuation and Action
We have removed the nominal C$3 million value of the Nevada brine project and incorporated the new Québec Lithium target or conceptual resource of 29 million tonnes grading 1.1% Li2O. We had valued Québec Lithium on the basis of the historical resource multiplied by the peer EV mean (less outlier) of C$0.08/lb multiplied by a factor of 1.5x to reflect a new NI 43-101 compliant resource expected by year-end. We have reduced this factor to 1.3x to reflect the fact that increased confidence and scale have now been captured to some extent. Our total project NAV estimate rises to of C$80 million, or C$0.55, up from C$0.46 per share. Canada Lithium is trading at price multiples of 0.6x project NAV and 0.9x corporate NAV. We apply a 0.7x target project multiple to generate a price target of C$0.50 per share. The 14% projected return continues to justify a SPECULATIVE BUY rating.

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