On July 17, 2025, VSA Capital published a morning report maintaining a Buy recommendation on Sierra Madre Gold and Silver Ltd. (SM:TSX.V; SMDRF:OTCQX) with a CA$1.40 per share target price, representing 100% upside from the share price at the time of the report of CA$0.70.
The analyst cited the company's successful, heavily oversubscribed placement enabling accelerated growth plans and exploration of the wider license area following proven profitable operations at La Guitarra.
Sierra Madre Gold & Silver Ltd. completed a heavily oversubscribed placement, launching the deal at CA$10 million with final aggregate proceeds of CA$16.5 million at a unit price of CA$0.70 per share with a half warrant at CA$0.85 per share expiring after 12 months.
The significant oversubscription demonstrates strong investor confidence in the company's growth trajectory and operational achievements, according to the report.
Operational Performance and Profitability
Over the past 12 months, Sierra Madre has successfully restarted operations at La Guitarra, generating a net profit in the first quarter of 2025. The company has proven that the mine can be operated profitably at commercial rates, providing the foundation for accelerated expansion plans.
Current processing capacity stands at 520 tonnes per day, with the mine having previously operated at higher run rates as a brownfield site.
Accelerated Expansion Timeline
The capital raise will enable the company to accelerate growth plans significantly ahead of schedule. An initial expansion to 640 tonnes per day from the current 520 tonnes per day can be achieved this year, followed by a further step up to 1,000 tonnes per day in 2026. VSA Capital noted that "previously, a decision to expand was only expected to be made next year at the earliest," highlighting the acceleration of the development timeline.
The analyst emphasized that "as a brownfield site which has previously operated at higher run rates, the capex requirement is modest" and the raise will fund plant upgrades and enable the purchase of additional equipment. The additional funds will also enable operational expense optimization through initiatives such as acquiring rather than leasing equipment.
Infrastructure and Environmental Improvements
The raise will enable construction of a paste backfill plant enabling underground backfill storage of tailings. This development will increase available capacity for tailings while management explores longer-term options for waste management.
The infrastructure investment demonstrates the company's commitment to sustainable mining practices and operational efficiency.
Exploration Potential and Resource Expansion
Due to the upsizing of the capital raise, the company may be able to commence exploration of the wider license area, particularly the Eastern District. VSA Capital highlighted that "59km of veins have been mapped in this area with six vein systems identified." Historic resource estimates based on limited work indicate grades exceeding 600 grams per tonne silver with gold credits of up to 4 grams per tonne gold.
The analyst believes that exploration will "enable SM to demonstrate the wider potential that could ultimately demonstrate mine life extensions and the optionality to expand processing capacity further justifying a stronger valuation."
Market Conditions and Precious Metals Rally
The timing of the expansion aligns favorably with precious metals market conditions, as the silver price rally has gained momentum, recently breaking through US$39 per ounce.
VSA Capital noted that "accelerating the ramp up to take advantage of the rise in precious metals prices is a positive decision which we believe will bring forward stronger cash flow generation for only modest capex."
Production Projections and Financial Modeling
The analyst's model indicates that a 1,000-tonne-per-day capacity could deliver production of over 1 million ounces of silver and up to 10,000 ounces of gold annually.
However, the model requires updates to reflect faster development timelines, as this capacity was previously assumed to be achieved only from 2029, as well as accounting for additional cash and shares from the recent raise.
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Important Disclosures:
- Sierra Madre Gold and Silver Ltd. is a billboard sponsor of Streetwise Reports and pays SWR a monthly sponsorship fee between US$4,000 and US$5,000.
- As of the date of this article, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of Sierra Madre Gold and Silver Ltd.
- This article does not constitute investment advice and is not a solicitation for any investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her personal financial adviser and perform their own comprehensive investment research. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports' terms of use and full legal disclaimer. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company.
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Disclosures for VSA Capital, Sierra Madre Gold and Silver Ltd., July 17, 2025
Investment Analyst Certification In our roles as Research Analysts for VSA Capital Limited, we hereby certify that the views about the companies and their securities discussed in this report are accurately expressed and that we have not received and will not receive direct or indirect compensation in exchange for expressing specific recommendations or views in this report. Non-Independent Research This is a marketing communication. It is non-independent research as it has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Important Disclosures This research report has been prepared by VSA Capital Limited, which is party to an agreement to be paid a fee as corporate finance advisors and arrangers with, or has provided investment banking services to, Sierra Madre, or has been party to such an agreement within the last twelve months, and is solely for, and directed at, persons who are Professional Clients as defined under Annex II of the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive, Directive 2004/39/EC, or as defined in the FCA Handbook. Persons who do not fall within the above category should return this research report to VSA Capital Limited, 1st Floor, 99 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 3XD, immediately. VSA Capital may distribute research in reliance on Rule 15a-6(a)(2) of the Securities and Exchange Act 1934 to persons that are major US Institutional investors, however, transactions in any securities must be effected through a US registered broker-dealer. If you are a US person, you must fulfil the requirements of a major US institutional investor as defined by the Securities Exchange Act 1934 and subsequent guidance from the SEC to receive this research report. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of US law for which VSA Capital Limited does not accept responsibility. The information in this report is not intended to be published or made available to any person in any jurisdiction where to do so would result in contravention of any applicable laws or regulations. Accordingly, if it is prohibited to make such information available in your jurisdiction or to you (by reason of your nationality, residence or otherwise) it is not directed at you. This research report is not intended to be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons. It is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, forwarded to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose, without out prior written consent. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or any options, futures or other derivatives related to such securities. The information and opinions contained in this research report have been compiled or arrived at by VSA Capital Limited from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to their accuracy, completeness or correctness. All opinions and estimates contained in the research report constitute the Company's judgments as of the date of the report and are subject to change without notice. The information contained in the report is published for the assistance of those persons defined above but it is not to be relied upon as authoritative or taken in substitution for the exercise of the judgment of any reader. The Company accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of the information contained herein. The company does not make any representation to any reader of the research report as to the suitability of any investment made in connection with this report and readers must satisfy themselves of the suitability in light of their own understanding, appraisal of risk and reward, objectives, experience and financial and operational resources. The value of any companies or securities referred to in this research report may rise as well as fall and sums recovered may be less than those originally invested. Any references to past performance of any companies or investments referred to in this research report are not indicative of their future performance. The Company and/or its directors and/or employees may have long or short positions in the securities mentioned herein, or in options, futures and other derivative instruments based on these securities or commodities. Not all of the products recommended or discussed in this research report may be regulated by the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000, as amended by The Financial Services and Markets Act 2012, and the rules made for the protection of investors by that Act will not apply to them. If you are in any doubt about the investment to which this report relates, you should consult a person authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority who specialises in advising on securities of the kind described. The Company does and seeks to do business with the companies covered in its research reports. Thus, investors should be aware that the Company may have a conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. To view our policy on conflicts of interest and connected companies, please go to: http://www.vsacapital.com/policies/conflict-of-interest-policy. VSA Capital acts as Corporate Adviser/Broker to Sierra Madre, and is therefore classed as a connected company. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.
Definition of Ratings VSA Capital Limited uses the following stock rating system to describe its equity recommendations. Investors should carefully read the definitions of all ratings used in each research report. In addition, since the research report contains more complete information concerning the analyst’s views, investors should carefully read the entire research report and not infer its contents from the rating alone. In any case, ratings (or research) should not be used or relied upon as investment advice. An investor’s decision to buy or sell a stock or investment fund should depend on individual circumstances and other considerations. VSA Capital Limited’s recommendations are defined as follows: BUY:The stock is expected to increase by in excess of 10% in absolute terms over the next twelve months. HOLD: The price of the stock is expected to move in a range between -10% and +10% in absolute terms over the next twelve months. SELL: The stock is expected to decrease by in excess of 10% in absolute terms over the next twelve months. In addition, on occasion, if the stock has the potential to increase by in excess of 10%, but on qualitative grounds rather than quantitative, a SPECULATIVE BUY may be used. Distribution of VSA Capital Limited’s Equities Recommendations VSA Capital Limited must disclose in each research report the percentage of all securities rated by the member to which the member would assign a “BUY”, “HOLD, or “SELL” rating, and also the proportion of relevant investments in each category issued by the issuers to which the firm supplied investment banking services during the previous twelve months. The said ratings are updated on a quarterly basis. Equities breakdown: 17/07/25 Spec. BUY BUY HOLD SELL Overall equities coverage 9% 91% 0.0% 0.0% Companies to which VSA has supplied investment banking services 100% 100% 0.0% 0.0%